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Cisco Systems: The Disappointment Is Now Priced In...

Summary:

• Cisco's investors have enjoyed a great year so far, with the stock rising by as much as 19%.

• Disappointment about Cisco’s fiscal Q3 earnings has resulted in a 5% pullback and flat movement over the last 6 weeks.

• The market's overrated disappointment about Cisco's earnings should now be priced in.

Cisco's (CSCO) stock rallied from the mid-$30s into the mid-$40s as investors awaited fiscal Q3 earnings on May 16. Despite Cisco beating bottom and top lines, the stock plunged by more than 5% on the next day and is still trading in that area as of today.

Source: Cisco Systems - all courtesy remains:

The stock's fabulous rally earlier in the year was driven by the fact that Wall Street largely underestimated the impact of Cisco's business transformation which has helped the company to return to revenue growth after multiple quarters of declining sales.

CSCO data by Y Charts

 Cisco is one of my largest holdings, and as it is trading now above a 3% yield again, the earnings-driven selloff has created another attractive buying opportunity as the business continues to grow both organically and via acquisitions.

What is going on at Cisco?

Cisco's fiscal Q3 2018 report has seen accelerating revenue growth of 4.4% Y/Y (compared to 2.6% Y/Y for the penultimate quarter) and an expansion of EPS by $0.06 Y/Y. This quarter represented the second consecutive quarter of revenue growth, and with that growth accelerating, it truly shows that Cisco's subscription story is gaining momentum. These are more than just solid figures, but more importantly, the company's growth in deferred product revenue remains in the double digits (+18%) and in line with previous quarter's performance (+19%). And finally Cisco's guidance forecast revenue growth of 4% to 6% and EPS between $0.68 and $0.70 and thus right in line with expectations of 5% sales growth and $0.69 in EPS.

 

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Legal Battle Between Cisco And Multiven Flares Up With EU Antitrust Complaint

Multiven Has Renewed Its Accusations That Cisco Abuses Its Position By Tying Software Bug Fixes To Its Maintenance Services

The dispute between Cisco Systems and maintenance service provider Multiven has arrived in Europe with the presentation of a new antitrust agreement on how Cisco provides software updates.

Multiven offers cloud-based services with which organizations can manage, monitor and maintain their IT network assets. Due to Cisco's dominance in the networking sector, the tools and services of any management provider must be compatible with their equipment.

The antitrust suit filed with the European Commission on August 20 is just the latest meeting between the CEO and founder of Multiven, Peter Alfred-Adekeye and his former employer Cisco. Multiven filed an antitrust suit with the Swiss Competition Commission in February last year, while the companies settled a case in the US. UU In 2010.

As part of the latest case, Multiven alleged that Cisco orchestrated the arrest of Alfred-Adekeye on charges of piracy, which Cisco vehemently denied. Multiven earlier this year also accused Cisco of stealing thousands of proprietary data files and copyrights from its knowledge base.

In its latest complaint, Multiven again alleges that Cisco abuses its dominant position to harm consumers by grouping and linking software bug fixes, patches and updates for its operating system and application software to its maintenance services, called SMARTnet.

This approach contrasts with vendors such as Apple, Hewlett-Packard, Microsoft and many others, who offer this type of "necessary and crucial" software updates for free, Multiven said Tuesday.

"Cisco's refusal to make all software updates available to all customers who purchased their software not only stifles free and fair competition, but also puts the Internet at risk of avoidable cyber-attacks on a daily basis," said Alfred-Adekeye it's a statement.


The lawsuit also alleges that Cisco is involved in a series of illegal anti-competitive acts, including forcing its 52,000 reseller partners to refuse to negotiate with Multiven and other companies that compete with SMARTnet.

Cisco asserts that the accusations are unfounded

"Multiven is simply repeating similar accusations that it has unsuccessfully made in the past to a number of antitrust regulators, including the European Commission." These allegations are completely without merit and have been consistently rejected or simply ignored, and we hope to discuss these more unfounded accusations with the Commission. European, "the company said by email.

The company said in the past that users are not required to purchase Cisco services and that thousands of partner companies offered service programs, including bug fixes, for their equipment.


This is not the first time that a third-party software maintenance provider and a large provider are involved in a legal battle. Oracle, for example, cracked down on a number of companies that it claims are providing support services for its products illegally, including Rimini Street.

How Chuck Robbins is Turning Cisco Around

After Treading Water For The Better Part Of A Decade, Cisco's Fortunes Have Turned Around Because Of The Decisions CEO Chuck Robbins Made Over Two Years Ago.

Cisco CEO, Chuck Robbins, is a busy man. I never see him talking to a customer, partner, employee, analyst or any other person in the company's ecosystem. I hope that during the holiday season he took the time to put up his feet, light a cigar and think about what happened to the company he has been managing for the past two years.

If we go back to January 1, 2016, the stock was at $ 23.79, the lowest since April 2014, and many Cisco investors were skeptical about Cisco's outlook.

Much of my business comes from my interactions with Wall Street, and only a very few wanted to talk about Cisco two years ago. There were far more bears than bulls, and the feeling was that the cloud, software-defined networking (SDN) and other trends at Cisco would slowly eat away and it would go the way of Lucent, Nortel and so many other companies to change their business models.

Today, the stock is close to $ 39 / share, which is an all-time high, except for the one-year period in 1999/2000, when each stock was significantly overvalued. The turnaround in Cisco's fortune was remarkably fast. I understand that the company has been talking about market transformation for about a decade, but it has done nothing but step on the water. Cisco has been in transition mode for the past few years.

The other notable feature of this achievement is that it did so without becoming private, as so many other vendors had to do (Dell, for example). Changing a company under the watchful eyes of your investors is a bit like changing the wings of an airplane while it's flying.

Strong Leadership Was The Key

So how did Robbins pull that rabbit out of his hat? That was not some sort of Criss Angel magic. It was rather a good, old-fashioned leadership and the right decisions in the following areas:

• Do What Is Right For Customers Rather Than Being The Best For Cisco. 

This is perhaps the hardest thing for tech companies. Markets change all the time and not always in favor of the seller. Cisco is known to capture market transitions by opening up new markets (VoIP, video, wireless) and participating from established operators rather than bothering themselves. When Cisco was confronted with this task because of SDN, it became defensive and tried to convince customers not to. I remember talking about that in my first meeting with Robbins after he became CEO, and he said that something under the influence of Cisco under his supervision would never do that again.

If there is industry change for the customer, especially in the area of ​​networking, Cisco's role should be to help and not hold them back. Since then, Cisco has not only supported SDN with its ACI solution, but is also working to extend the definition through the Network Intuitive campaign to include task-based networks.

• Acquisitions, Acquisitions And More Acquisitions.

Buying other vendors has been a key to Cisco's growth, but the company has been in full shopaholic fashion over the past two years, buying 16 companies. Almost all of these were in the areas of cloud, machine learning or security, with a few important vendors, as Viptela and SpringPath, sprinkled in to improve Cisco's competitive positioning. Acquisitions add new technology, open up market opportunities and add some significant talent to the company.

• Embracing The Cloud.

It's fair to say that Cisco's growth two years ago was not tied to the growth of the cloud. The cloud is driving a lot of bandwidth, which could stimulate network upgrades, but that's not a very exciting story. Since then, Cisco has developed a complete 180 solution with the cloud, and many of the next-generation solutions are cloud-ready. Spark, Talos, Umbrella, Broadsoft, Viptela, Jasper and others were born in the cloud and helped Cisco capitalize on the current cloud gold rush.

Cisco has also extended many of its products, such as ACI, to public clouds. Over the next few years, it is expected that Cisco will continue to invest heavily in the cloud.

• Goin All In On Artificial Intelligence (AI).

I'm convinced that in the future, the most successful providers will be those who have the best data and AI algorithms to interpret the information to gain new insights. It's undeniable that no vendor has more data about what's happening in a company than Cisco. We live in a world where everything is connected at breakneck speed, and Cisco can monitor traffic to and from all these endpoints, including Internet of Things (IoT) devices.

Cisco has made a number of acquisitions in AI, including MindMeld, Saggezza, and AppDynamics, which complement its own internal efforts in this area. The results of these investments are now coming to fruition. For example, Cisco ran a media event late last year to show how AI can improve meetings. The tetration and intent-based network offering will use AI to fundamentally change the way networks are operated. Another example is Encrypted Traffic Analytics (ETA), which uses AI to find malware in encrypted traffic, something that was not possible in the past.

• Easy, Peasy, Lemon Squeezy.

Cisco technology has always been hard to deploy and manage. Another promise from Robbins was that Cisco would do the work to mask the complexity from its customers. The company has held true to his words, and products such as Meraki, Spark and ACI do a great job of letting its customers focus on innovation instead of having to sit at a command line making updates.

Cisco Isn't Totally Out Of The Woods

Despite the recent success, the turnaround of Cisco is still ongoing. Two of the company's biggest sources of revenue, campus switching and routing, are both declining businesses and holding the company back. If they were set in motion, this would create a further growth function.

Intent-based networking on the new Catalyst 9000 looks like it has potential. At the last profit sharing Cisco said that about 1,100 customers have taken over the new switching platform. Conversion of these clients to intentional clients gives them the opportunity to drive business forward.

Routing seems more problematic. In fact, the acquisition of Viptela is likely to take advantage of part of the massive installation base of Cisco ISR routers. The purchase of Viptela is a good example of Cisco being more customer-focused. A few years ago, I do not think Cisco would have acquired a company that would threaten the ISR base, but the new Cisco will help its customers move to SD-WAN and tailor the business as they go. Regardless, the heyday of ISR seems to be coming to an end, and Cisco needs to figure out what the future of routing is and how it can boost that business.

Services And Security Will Play An Increasingly Important Role In Cisco Growth

Two of Cisco's business units that could be at the forefront of a $ 50 billion company are services and security. One fact that most people do not realize is that the service group is now Cisco's second-largest revenue. The more dependent the technology is and the faster it has to move, the greater the opportunity to bring services into the mix. Cisco has recently announced new Business Critical Services to help customers make the transition to digital transformation. I expect these to be strong and that the Services business unit will lead Cisco into its next era.

Security offers Cisco a tremendous opportunity. With sales of approximately $ 2.5 billion, Cisco is the largest provider of enterprise security solutions, but that's only about 5 percent of the total security market. When Cisco implements its plans to make the network a sensor and enforcer and associates it with Talos' threat intelligence, it could fulfill the vision of a self-defending network. It will not take much to double or even triple security revenues as it should be able to do things that few others, especially startups, can not do.

In retrospect, I'm sure it's nice for Robbins that the hard work pays off, but I doubt he'll spend a lot of time thinking about the past. The world is changing faster than ever, and its job is to accelerate and make sure that Cisco's transformation process continues.

Get Cisco 200-125 Exam Real Questions - Cisco 200-125 Dumps Dumps4Download

Question No :1
Refer to the exhibit. Router edge-1 is unable to establish OSPF neighbor adjacency with router ISP-1. Which two configuration changes can you make on edge-1 to allow the two routers to establish adjacency? (Choose two.)

A. Set the subnet mask on edge-1 to 255 255.255.252.
B. Reduce the MTU on edge-1 to 1514.
C. Set the OSPF cost on edge-1 to 1522.
D. Reduce the MTU on edge-1 to 1500.
E. Configure the ip ospf mtu-ignore command on the edge-1 Gi0/0 interface.

Answer: DE
Explanation:
A situation can occur where the interface MTU is at a high value, for example 9000, while the real
value of the size of packets that can be forwarded over this interface is 1500. If there is a mismatch on MTU on both sides of the link where OSPF runs, then the OSPF adjacency will not form because the MTU value is carried in the Database Description (DBD) packets and checked on the other side.

Question No : 2

A network administrator is verifying the configuration of a newly installed host by establishing an FTP connection to a remote server. What is the highest layer of the protocol stack that the network administrator is using for this operation?

A. application
B. presentation
C. session
D. transport
E. internet
F. data link

Answer: A
Explanation:

FTP belongs to Application layer and it is also the highest layer of the OSI model.

Question No : 3

A receiving host computes the checksum on a frame and determines that the frame is damaged. The frame is then discarded. At which OSI layer did this happen?

A. session
B. transport
C. network
D. data link
E. physical

Answer: D
Explanation:
The Data Link layer provides the physical transmission of the data and handles error notification, network topology, and flow control. The Data Link layer formats the message into pieces, each called a data frame, and adds a customized header containing the hardware destination and source address. Protocols Data Unit (PDU) on Datalink layer is called frame. According to this question the frame is damaged and discarded which will happen at the Data Link layer.

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Question No : 4
Hotspot Question - RIPv2 Troubleshooting 

- Router R1 connects the main office to internet, and routers R2 and R3 are internal routers
- NAT is enabled on Router R1
- The routing protocol that is enabled between R1, R2 and R3 is RIPv2
- R1 sends default route into RIPv2 for internal routers to forward
internet traffic to R1
- Server1 and Server 2 are placed in VLAN 100 and 200 respectively, and are still running on stick Configuration with router R2.
You have console access on R1, R2, R3 and L2SW1 devices.
Use only show commands to troubleshoot the issues. Server1 and Server2 are unable to communicate with the rest of the network. Your initial check with system administrators shows that IP address settings are correctly configured on the server

side. What could be an issue?

A. The VLAN encapsulation is misconfigured on the router subinterfaces.
B. The Router is missing subinterface configuration.
C. The Trunk is not configured on the L2SW1 switch.
D. The IP address is misconfigured on the primary router interface.

Answer: A
Explanation:
Check the configuration of the interface that is connected to Server1 and Server2 on R2 with

“show running-config” command.

We see that subinterface E0/1.100 has been configured with VLAN 200 (via “encapsulation dot1Q 200” command) while Server1 belongs to VLAN 100. Therefore this configuration is not correct. It should be “encapsulation dot1Q 100” instead. The same thing for interface E0/1.200, it should be “encapsulation dot1Q 200” instead.

Question No : 5

Hotspot Question - DHCP
Examine the DHCP configuration between R2 and R3,R2 is configured as the DHCP server and R3 as the client. What is the reason R3 is not receiving the IP address via DHCP?

A. On R3,DHCP is not enabled on the interface that is connected to R2.

B. On R3,the interface that is connected to R2 is in shutdown condition.

C. On R2, the interface that is connected to R3 is in shutdown condition.

D. On R2, the network statement in the DHCP pool configuration is incorrectly configured


Answer: A
Explanation: 
First we should check which interface on R3 that is connected to R2 via the “show run” command.

From the description we learn interface E0/1 is connected to R2. Use the “show ip interface brief” command to verify the IP address of this interface. 

Therefore we can conclude this interface does not have any IP address and there is no configuration on this interface (except the “description Link to R2” line).

If R3 wants to receive an IP address from R2 via DHCP, interface E0/1 should be configured with the command “ip address dhcp” so the answer “DHCP is not enabled on this interface” is correct.

Question No : 6
Which switching method duplicates the first six bytes of a frame before making a switching decision?

A. fragment-free switching
B. store and-forward switching
C. cut through switching
D. ASIC switching

Answer: C
Explanation:
Cut and Through method has lowest latency. In this method Switch only read first six bytes from frame after the preamble. These six bytes are the destination address of frame. This is the fastest
method of switching. This method also processes invalid frames. Only advantage of this method is speed.

Mingis on Tech: What Cisco announced at Cisco Live

Get the low-down on what intent-based networking is and why Cisco is making a big deal about it

Cisco is a company in transition as it looks to move beyond its networking roots into areas as diverse as security, mobile, the Internet of Things and the now "intent-based networking."

(That last one isn't quite as futuristic as it sounds.)

Network World's Brandon Butler has been at Cisco Live this week, keeping tabs on what the company is up to -- something that's not easy when there are 28,000 people in attendance and 1 million square feet of exhibition space. He filled in Computerworld Executive Editor Ken Mingis on the details.

The big news? Actually, that came last week and involves intent-based networking. IBNS, as it's known, uses machine learning to automatically program a network based on user needs. In a nutshell, the system allows IT to define detailed policies for a corporate network and have a software platform that executes -- and even maintains -- that desired state. 

Although IBNS as a concept has been around for years, said Butler, it's the arrival and refinement of machine learning that makes the system a more realistic possibility. That said, the hardware-software combo needed for all the pieces to fit together is unlikely to be in place before about 2020.

Other highlights included talk about programmable switches and a surprise appearance Monday by Apple CEO Tim Cook, who talked about the ongoing Cisco/Apple partnership. It's a symbiotic relationship: Apple is trying to break into the enterprise through partnerships with the  likes of Cisco, IBM, SAP and others; Cisco sees an opportunity to help its networking customers better manage employees and provide a more secure network.

The two companies announced a new Cisco security app that will be available on iOS later this year, and unveiled plans to find savings for customers buying cyber insurance -- if they use Apple and Cisco products.

To sum up: Cisco is at a pivot point as it tries to transition from a hardware to a software company; positions itself as something of a security company; and works to integrate the growth in cloud, IoT and mobile computing with corporate network needs.

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